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To be sure, she told Fortune, the demographic evidence facing the program is undeniably grim. The ratio of workers to beneficiaries has plummeted from 10 or more in the mid-20th century to merely two or three today. As a result, the timeline for the depletion of the program’s surplus trust funds has accelerated, shifting from 2035 to the end of 2032. After 2032, incoming payroll tax revenue, income from taxation of benefits, and interest on the trust funds will not cover 100% of promised benefits.
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But notably, no oil and gas production activities have been targeted by Iran or its proxies thus far, said Jaime Brito, executive director for refining and oil products at the OPIS energy pricing research firm.
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